Mozambique: Anticipating Risk and Strengthening Resilience

Since 2020, CIMA Research Foundation has been working in Mozambique to strengthen the country’s capacity to anticipate risks associated with tropical cyclones and floods. The work, initiated together with WeWorld through the projects “Building inclusive resilient communities and schools to face rapid-onset hazards in risk-prone areas in Mozambique” and “REDE EDUCAMA”, funded by European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations (ECHO), is carried out in close cooperation with Mozambican institutions, international partners and donors. In particular, with the Instituto Nacional de Gestão e Redução do Risco de Desastres (INGD), the Direcção Nacional de Gestão de Recursos Hídricos (DNGRH) and the Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INAM).

At the heart of the work is one objective: to transform scientific knowledge into operational tools useful for decision-making. Observations, meteorological and hydrological forecasts, and exposure data are integrated to understand not only where and when an event might occur, but also what consequences it might have for people and territories.

Since 2024, this work has been consolidated through Ready2Act, funded by the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation through the Italian Agency for Development Cooperation and developed under the strategic supervision of the Italian Department of Civil Protection. Through systems such as myDewetra and Flood-PROOFS Mozambique, and thanks to participation in working groups dedicated to strengthening the link between Early Warning and Early Action in the country, CIMA Research Foundation contributes to transforming data and forecasts into operational information for decision-makers.

The inauguration of the operational centres of the National Institute for Disaster Risk Management (INGD) in Maputo and Sofala (Beira), established under Ready2Act and in cooperation with Mozambican institutions, represents a further step forward in strengthening the national early warning system. Together with technical training and exercises, these facilities help consolidate institutional capacities for sharing data and information, operational coordination and the use of forecasts to anticipate impacts. Their connection with the Africa Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Early Action System (AMHEWAS) and the SADC Humanitarian and Emergency Operations Centre (SHOC) also facilitates the integration of the Mozambican system into regional and continental mechanisms for early warning, coordination and emergency response.

Also since 2024, the work has expanded to urban flood risk mapping with the World Food Programme, under the Regional Urban Preparedness project funded by ECHO. Since 2026, it has also included the assessment of the effects of floods on urban mobility through the RE2CLID project, funded by the European Union and implemented with the World Food Programme (WFP) and the International Organization for Migration (IOM).

From national and provincial operational centres to cooperation with early warning networks, CIMA’s work is developing at multiple scales. Regional-scale activities, such as “Fostering Community Resilience in Southern Africa by Strengthening Urban Preparedness Systems” (SAUP), and local-scale activities in Sofala and Zambezia, carried out with WFP and IOM, contribute to the same objective: building an increasingly integrated system in which scientific expertise, technological tools and institutional coordination work together to transform early warning into anticipatory action, strengthening the capacity to protect communities exposed to risk.

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Context and Objectives

In a country exposed to cyclones, floods and droughts, forecasting an extreme event is only the first step. To act in time, it is necessary to understand its possible impacts. Ready2Act, Regional Urban Preparedness and RE2CLID – Regional Responses to Climate Displacement in Sub-Saharan Africa – address this challenge from complementary perspectives, integrating observations, forecasts and territorial data to transform scientific knowledge into anticipatory decisions and actions.

The Human Element

Behind every early warning system are people capable of interpreting data and using it to make decisions. Through a training-of-trainers approach, Mozambican technicians in turn become trainers, sharing skills within the country's regions and strengthening the autonomy of institutions.

Human and Social Impact

An effective early warning does not merely signal an extreme event; it helps to understand its impacts on communities. Integrating exposure and vulnerability data makes it possible to identify more targeted preparedness measures, also considering risks to livelihoods and potential displacement.

Strengthening Coordination

From forecasts to operational decisions, every step requires shared information and clear responsibilities. The two situation rooms, the exercises and the procedures shared among institutions strengthen institutional coordination, in a process that also extends to African cooperation through initiatives such as AMHEWAS.

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Key Results

Implementation of myDewetra and Flood-PROOFS Mozambique, integrating monitoring, forecasting and risk analysis.

Inauguration of two situation rooms, one national and one provincial, to strengthen coordination in emergency management.

National forecasting exercises to test early warning systems, operational procedures and institutional coordination.

Development of procedures for anticipatory action, to transform forecasts into timely decisions and interventions.

Milestones

NEWS FROM MOZAMBIQUE