The collaboration between CIMA Research Foundation and the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC) aims to conduct a multi-risk assessment of displacement in two vulnerable areas of Guyana, using the IDMC’s Global Displacement Risk Model 2.0 and working in coordination with the International Organization for Migration (IOM), the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA), and the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR), as part of the project “Fostering Collaborative Approaches to Disaster Preparedness in the Caribbean: Strengthening Human Mobility Frameworks and Building Capacity to Address Disaster Displacement.” The initiative contributes to the creation of a harmonized regional database to improve disaster preparedness and early warning systems in the Caribbean.
GOALS AND EXPECTED RESULTS
The main objective of the project is to develop a probabilistic and comparable assessment of the risk of displacement due to multiple hazards (floods, wind, storm surges, etc.) by integrating demographic, environmental, and infrastructure data. The project aims to support national and regional planning by producing risk indicators, climate scenarios, and consistent geospatial maps.
CIMA RESEARCH FOUNDATION’S CONTRIBUTION
CIMA Research Foundation is responsible for the technical and methodological coordination of the project, including:
- methodological harmonization, aimed at defining a unified and comparable approach across countries;
- selection of priority study areas;
- integration of multi-source data, including mobility data from the IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix and data derived from Earth observation, to build a harmonized and replicable dataset;
- development of a multi-risk probabilistic displacement model, with quantification of the uncertainty associated with estimates of displaced populations under various climate change scenarios;
- participatory validation with national stakeholders and regional partners, to ensure consistency and alignment with the local context.
