Documento senza titolo
Modelling and prediction of forest fires

Uncertainty in the prediction of forest fire risk

The research activities carried out within the framework of the characterization of uncertainty in the prediction of forest fires risk are aimed at the representation of the behavior over time of the state variables directly related with the response of vegetation to fire.
The ability to assess the actual conditions of forest fire hazard lies largely in the understanding of the processes that regulate the exchange of moisture in fuel plant. It is therefore necessary to consider the forest environment as a complex system of interactions between soil and atmosphere, whose main forcing factors are given by the effect of weather and the inter-annual physiological dynamics of the vegetation. More...

Land cover change and fire regime analysis under climate change conditions

Land cover change and forest fire interaction under climate and socio-economics changes, is one of the main issues of the 21th century. The capability of defining future scenarios of land cover and fire regime allow forest managers to better understand the best actions to be carried out and their long term effects. Modern society demands multiple services from landscapes, resulting in a complex mosaic of land uses and vegetation types. More...

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